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America Is More Than Trump
America Is More Than TrumpEurope Should Defend the Iran Deal without Burning Bridges to the US
by Thomas Gomart, Robin Niblett, Daniela Schwarzer, Nathalie Tocci
DGAPviewpoint 13, 2018, 2 pp.
In a bid to salvage the Iran Nuclear Deal, European leaders this week moved to protect European companies from the possible fallout of US sanctions against Iran. The steps taken to ensure commerce with Iran – among them the activation of the 1996 blocking statute – risk further alienation from the US. However, the EU will only be able to negotiate effectively with the US over Iran if it develops its own strategy. Fighting for the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is a place to start.
Searching for a new foundation for German-Russian relations
by Stefan Meister
Russian International Affairs Council, May 14, 2018
Relations between Germany and Russia have always been fundamental for (peace and stability) Europe — whether in a negative way, for example remembering the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact on the eve of the Second World War, or in a positive way, as in the management of German unification, the end of the Soviet Union and the eastern enlargement of the EU.
How Donald Trump drives Europe towards China
by Philipp Liesenhoff
The US under Trump is presenting itself to Europe as a less attractive ally for trade and climate policy, and China as a more attractive one, a German foreign policy expert writes.
Orbán Reloaded
Orbán ReloadedWhat the EU and Germany Should Do Now
by Milan Nič, Péter Krekó
DGAPviewpoint 10, 2018, 4 pp.
Viktor Orbán has been re-elected as Hungarian prime minister in polls beset by fear-mongering, an unfair voting system and a divided opposition. After decrying the EU as part of a Western conspiracy against Hungary, he will now both use and abuse Brussels: He hopes to build a new Eurosceptic alliance in Brussels to increase his limited clout in the bloc and his power and maneuver space at home. The EU should step up its responses to prevent Hungary from becoming an antidemocratic model in Europe.
Stably Instable
Stably InstablePutin’s Reelection Will Not Stop Social Change in Russia
by Stefan Meister
DGAPviewpoint 9, 2018, 3 pp.
Vladimir Putin has governed Russia for eighteen years. An entire generation of young Russians has only ever experienced him at the helm of their country. Yet, it is just this generation that Putin is losing touch with as he has been seeking his power base mostly in the conservative, small-town and rural majority. Putin’s reelection will not shield his government from the social change that Russia is facing – and it is this change that the West should set its hopes on.
Fed Up
Fed UpA political murder has triggered upheaval in Slovakia.
by Milan Nič
Berlin Policy Journal, 16.03.2018
The murders of Slovak journalist Ján Kuciak and his fiancée Martina Kušnírová set off a wave of protests throughout the country. Having already forced the resignation of a long-term Slovak Prime Minister there’s no telling how far they could go from here.
Germany Has a New Government
by Stefan Meister
First published for the Valdai Discussion Club
German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier officially proposed the Bundestag to appoint Angela Merkel as Federal Chancellor. Will the policy of the “new old” federal government change, or will the grand coalition continue the current line? During her last term, Angela Merkel will have to deal much more with domestic issues and has to manage her succession, writes Stefan Meister, Head of Robert Bosch Center for Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia, German Council on Foreign Relations.
Cautiously Ambitious
Cautiously AmbitiousGerman Government Sets the Right Tone for Strong EU Policies
by Daniela Schwarzer
DGAPkompakt 5 (March 2018), 5 pp.
Angela Merkel is set to form a new government as the Social Democrats accepted a coalition with the CDU/CSU. Their coalition deal pushes for closer European integration alongside EU reform and strong German-French relations. It continues the paradigm of post-war German foreign relations by focusing on partnerships. At the same time, this paradigm is under threat: Both the EU and US relations have become less certain. Germany needs to proceed with ambition – and caution. The deal is a good start.
All That Xi Wants
All That Xi WantsChina’s Communist Party is Trying to Reform the Country from the Top Down
by Bernt Berger
DGAPviewpoint 5, 2018, 3 pp.
The Chinese Communist Party leadership's move to drop the constitutional limits restricting President Xi Jinping’s tenure have been interpreted as a long-term power grab by many international media. This view, however, misses a crucial point: The Central Committee is embarking on reforms to consolidate the government – from the top down. Not yet on board in this process are key stakeholders.
Is Russia Europe’s Biggest Threat?
Judy Dempsey asks Stefan Meister and other experts
by Stefan Meister
“Judy Asks,” Carnegie Europe Blog, February 21, 2018
As part of her “Strategic Europe” blog for Carnegie Europe’s website, Judy Dempsey asked a selection of foreign and security policy experts, including the DGAP’s Stefan Meister, about Russia’s role for Europe.