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The Thin-Skinned President’s Outrage
German-Turkish relations under pressure over satirical poem
by Julian Rappold
Heinrich Böll Stiftung European Union, April 25, 2016
In a blog entry for the Heinrich Böll Stiftung, Julian Rappold sums up the current debate over the limits of satire in Germany. A controversial poem by German comedian Jan Böhmermann, coming just weeks after Chancellor Merkel's deal with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to stop the flow of migrants trying to reach Europe, put German-Turkish relations to the test and nearly developed into a state affair.
The Resurfacing Turkish-Kurdish Question and its Regional Impact
The Resurfacing Turkish-Kurdish Question and its Regional ImpactThe Turkish time machine
by Kristian Brakel
DGAPkompakt (April 2016), 6pp.
The bomb that went off in downtown Ankara on March 13, killing 37 people, was a stark reminder that war has returned to Turkey. The second such attack within one month, it clearly shows that the conflict has the capacity to engulf all of Turkey. With the peace process in a shambles and the violent spillover from Syria intensifying, the resurgence of the Turkish-Kurdish conflict almost makes it seem as if the country has traveled back in time to the height of the civil war in the 1990s.
Papers from the Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue
Papers from the Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue Three different views on security in Europe
by Stefan Meister, Jana Puglierin, Marek Świerczyński, Alexander Nikitin
DGAPanalyse 3 (April 2016), 13pp, in English
The Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue Workshop held at the DGAP in December 2015 focused on security. It brought together a group of Russian, Polish, and German experts to discuss their respective national security discourses and the security situation in Europe more generally. The three short papers included here provide brief analyses of how the security situation is currently perceived in each of the three countries.
Moldova at an Impasse
Moldova at an ImpasseThe crisis in the republic is set to continue despite the formation of a new government
by Sarah Pagung
DGAPkompakt 11 (March 2016), 3pp
Corruption and self-interest on the part of Moldova’s political elite are thwarting the development of this small and very poor Eastern European country and its rapprochement with the EU. The EU itself can offer no tenable solutions to the problem. Meanwhile, the public continues to reel from the discovery in December 2014 that as much as a billion euros had vanished from three Moldovan banks. How can the country regain its pro-European course?
The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood in 2016
The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood in 2016Scenarios and Recommendations
by Abdelrahman Ayyash, Victor J. Willi
DGAPkompakt 9 (March 2016), 6pp
The Egyptian army’s removal of Mohammed Morsi in July 2013 brought major structural transformations to Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood. Today, with thousands of MB leaders and mid-level cadres under arrest, it is nearly impossible for the organization’s leadership to control the movement’s lower ranks. Many rank-and-file members are frustrated with the old guard’s reluctance to advocate a more aggressive stance against the regime, despite its widespread human rights violations.
Is there a Russian 5th Column inside Germany?
The DGAP's Stefan Meister weighs in for PISM on the "Lisa Case"
by Stefan Meister
PISM Blog, “Maria Przełomiec Asks about the East,” Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM), March 5, 2016
Stefan Meister and two other experts comment on the strength of Russian propaganda within Germany, particularly its impact on Germany’s Russian-speaking community. The Lisa Case refers to the temporary disappearance of a Russian-German girl, who claimed she had been kidnapped and raped by migrants in Berlin. German authorities later found that the story was fabricated, but the ensuing media storm via Russian-language television and Internet channels took on a life of its own.
Working Papers “Forging Western Consensus on Eastern Policy”
Working Papers “Forging Western Consensus on Eastern Policy”An ongoing series of informal papers co-published with Johns Hopkins University’s Center for Transatlantic Relations
by Various Authors
Assorted working papers (dated January and February 2016), DGAP and Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University.
The DGAP shares the first informal think pieces in a series on transatlantic policy toward Russia, with texts by Andrew Kuchins, John Herbst, Sergei Guriev, Marie Mendras, Donald N. Jensen, among others. The drafts were prepared for the Center for Transatlantic Relations at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University in collaboration with the DGAP’s program on Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia at the DGAP’s Robert Bosch Center.
The Kremlin’s Influence in Hungary
The Kremlin’s Influence in HungaryThe DGAP's series continues with an examination of Budapest's ties to Moscow
by Dániel Hegedüs
DGAPkompakt 8 (February 2016), 11 pp.
Russia’s relations with Hungary are unique within the EU. Close ties to Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party spell unprecedented access to the government of an EU member state—a degree of access that is qualitatively higher than what is offered by its links to Euroskeptic right-wing parties (such as Hungary’s Jobbik). Moscow values this government’s destabilizing potential at the EU and NATO levels. In return for services rendered, Hungary’s current leaders can reap the benefits of economic cooperation.
The Egyptian Interregnum
The Egyptian InterregnumThe High Cost of Suppressing Change
by Ibrahim El Houdaiby
DGAPkompakt 6 (February 2016), 6pp
Five years after the ouster of Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, the alliance backing Abdel Fattah el-Sisi is fragile to the point of collapse. A lack of overarching vision is leading to unprecedented levels of politicization, fragmentation, discord, and violation of the law within the state apparatus. While the regime asks for patience as it pursues “stability,” “state building,” and a relentless “war on terrorists,” it seems to be taking a path with just two possible outcomes: total collapse or slow decay.
Germany’s "Enable & Enhance" Initiative
Germany’s "Enable & Enhance" InitiativeFederal Academy for Security Policy, Working Paper
by Jana Puglierin
Copyright: Bundesakademie für Sicherheitspolitik, Security Policy Working Paper No. 1 (2016), 4 pp.
The German government’s “Enable & Enhance Initiative” has been the subject of German security policy debates – and of public speculation – for some time. The most prevalent suspicion is that the initiative is an attempt to justify German armaments exports to crisis areas, as it enables the conflict parties to resolve their dispute under their own steam. This reductive view is incorrect. The Enable & Enhance Initiative is instead a complex instrument of preventive security policy.
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