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Selected publications

The Challenges of German Leadership
New Geopolitical Balances and Constancy of the European Choice
by Claire Demesmay, Andreas Marchetti
Hérodote, Revue de Géographie et de Géopolitique, No. 175 (Quatrième trimestre 2019): L’Allemagne, 30 ans après, p. 55-67.
From 1989 to 2019, Germany stood by its most fundamental geopolitical choices. In particular, it confirmed its willingness to be anchored in the institutional framework of political Europe and remained committed to shared leadership with France. However, it is still far from comfortable with its new responsibilities, linked to its new centrality in Europe. This contribution aims to establish in which areas and in which form the Federal Republic has exercised leadership in Europe since the upheavals of 1989/1991.
Europe Onward
Bridging EU Council presidencies: from Bucharest to Berlin
Global Focus, November 11, 2019
To say that the EU is at a critical junction has become something of a cliché, while also a self-evident truth. Whereas reflections around the strategic directions that the Union might take have multiplied, the reform of the EU itself resembles rather the love life of the elephant, as former Die ZEIT editor-at-large Theo Sommer likes to say: “a lot of dust is raised, then you have to wait 22 months and such a small thing comes out!”
Germany’s Preliminary 5G Decision
Germany’s Preliminary 5G DecisionLimiting Damage and Learning Lessons
by Kaan Sahin, Didi Kirsten Tatlow
DGAPkompakt 21 (November 2019), 6 pp.
Despite the security concerns of the US, EU, and Australia, Germany plans not to exclude any telecom equipment vendors, including Chinese companies such as Huawei, from its 5G network. This stance reflects a narrow view of the issue that prioritizes short-term economic interests and fails to uphold national security and democratic values. Widespread criticism, including from within the government, shows that political decision-makers in Germany need a more sophisticated, forward-looking approach to 5G.
Macron is Gambling Away EU Influence in Balkans
by Daniela Schwarzer, Milan Nič, Shahin Vallée
BalkanInsight, 31 October 2019
France’s obstinate opposition to enlargement has put the EU’s remaining influence on its own doorstep – and its ability to shape strategic development and stability in Southeast Europe – in jeopardy.
A Question of Survival
A Question of Survival
by Jana Puglierin
Berlin Policy Journal, 31 October 2019
The European Union can no longer afford to conduct a foreign policy based on the lowest common denominator. It needs to adapt to new realities―and fast―without compromising its core values.
Enhancing Germany’s Conflict Prevention Strategies
Enhancing Germany’s Conflict Prevention Strategies
by Gerrit Kurtz
Berlin Policy Journal, October 22, 2019
The German government’s three new prevention strategies set high conceptual standards. In order to be effective, they need more focus, specificity and greater attention to the growing demands on embassy staff.
Peace in South Sudan
Peace in South SudanDon’t Repeat the Same Mistakes
by Gerrit Kurtz
DGAPviewpoint 29 (October 2019), 3 pp.
Germany should advocate in the UN Security Council for a course correction on the international approach to peace in South Sudan. If high-level mediation, addressing impunity, and grassroots reconciliation are not prioritized, international pressure to form a transitional government by November 12, 2019, is likely to lead to renewed violence.
The First Year of the Compact
The First Year of the CompactHow the Review Process Can Make Civilian CSDP More Capable
by Carina Böttcher
DGAPkompakt 20 (October 2019), 5 pp.
The EU needs more and better capabilities in civilian crisis management to fulfill its level of ambition and to more effectively contribute to security and peace in its wider neighborhood. In this, the Civilian CSDP Compact plays an important role. It has introduced an annual review process to take stock of implementation and identify ­capability shortfalls. This review process has great potential to improve the way the EU and its member states plan and develop capabilities for missions.
Local elections in Hungary
Orbán no longer invincible, but his party is still the strongest
by András Rácz
ICDS, October 22, 2019
On 13 October 2019, Hungary held its municipal and local elections, which resulted in opposition parties taking over Budapest as well as several countryside cities.
Donbas Peace Talks 2.0
Donbas Peace Talks 2.0Russia’s Objectives and Ukraine’s Limits
by Cristina Gherasimov, András Rácz
DGAPkompakt 18 (October 2019), 6 pp.
On October 1, 2019, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy agreed to meet Russia’s conditions for holding peace talks already this autumn. Moscow’s readiness to play, however, should not be mistaken for willingness to solve the conflict. So far, the Kremlin has not made any concessions in Eastern Ukraine that would be irreversible; consequently, it seems to only be testing Zelenskiy’s limits. Both Zelenskiy and the EU need to be cautious not to reward easy-to-reverse steps with major, strategic benefits.