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Selected publications

Saudi Arabia's Engagement in Egypt
Aid is not reaching the general population.
by Sebastian Sons
Cicero, November 10, 2015. In German.
A recent contribution by Associate Fellow Sebastian Sons to the German political magazine, Cicero.
After Paris
After ParisWhat are the Political Consequences of the Attacks within Europe and beyond?
by Claire Demesmay, Sarah Hartmann, Stefan Meister, Henning Riecke, Gereon Schuch
Originally published in German (Monday, November 16, 2015).
How will domestic and external discussions of European security change in response to the November 13 attacks on Paris? How will they shape future measures to fight ISIS in Irak and Syria? This Monday, five of the DGAP's experts came together for a discussion – and noted the grave danger of combining an analysis of the causes of the Paris attacks with the ongoing debate on how to handle Europe’s refugee crisis.
Will Russia Succeed in Blocking the EU-Ukraine Trade Agreement?
Chances and Consequences
by Stefan Meister
The Polish Institute of International Affairs blog entry, November 5, 2015.
If the DCFTA with Ukraine will be implemented, it would send a strong signal to Ukrainian society and other post-Soviet countries that the EU is still a player in the region and Brussels is willing to go head-to-head with Moscow on the common neighborhood to implement its interests. Besides sanctions, comprehensive support for the implementation of AAs/DCFTAs should be the EU’s response to Russian aggression in Ukraine and Moscow’s destabilization of the common neighborhood.
Multilateralism in the Far North
Multilateralism in the Far NorthThe Ukraine Crisis Threatens to Introduce a Security Dimension into Arctic Diplomacy
by Jonas Kassow
DGAPkompakt12 (November 2015), 5 pp. In English.
In April 2015, chairmanship of the Arctic Council passed from Canada to the United States. Up until then, the Americans had played only a minor role in the Arctic. Now the Ukraine crisis threatens to undermine previously well-functioning international cooperation with Russia on Arctic matters. At the same time, given both the significant environmental challenges and the growing economic significance of the far north, multilateral cooperation in the region is more significant than ever.
Solidarity out of self-interest
Solidarity out of self-interestAll parties call for European solidarity, but are at odds about its concrete meaning
by Julian Rappold
Reshaping Europe blog, Heinrich Boell Stiftung, November 4, 2015
Crisis mode has become the new normal for European leaders. Over the past five years, the EU has held its breath over the euro crisis leaving visible scars on its functioning and the way, how member states deal with each other. Dissent over the right prescriptions for the crisis management brought about severe tensions between member states. The notion of solidarity turned into an overused buzz word: this has become most obvious in the escalating negotiations between Greece and its creditors.
Cybersecurity and China’s Rise as a Global Power
A Challenge for Europe
by Johannes Kadura
University of Nottingham, China Policy Institute Blog, November 5, 2015
The rise of China and cybersecurity are two central issues that dominate the media and are being discussed by policymakers around the world. At the foreign policy level, the two issues have become increasingly intertwined. European and specifically German policymakers ought to pay close attention to these developments and familiarize themselves with the relevant facts, debates, and agendas. Brussels and Berlin otherwise run the risk of having to catch up and adapt to new realities without having a say or being prepared.
An Important Election despite Predictable Results
A brief analysis of the presidential elections in Belarus
by Maria Davydchyk
GET Belarus Newsletter, issue no 36, September/October 2015
The October 11 presidential election was the most important political event in Belarus in years. President Alexander Lukashenko, who was elected to a fifth term, benefited from the fragile security situation in Eastern Europe. Although the elections were peaceful, the EU should not be guided by purely pragmatic considerations in dealing with Belarus; it should watch developments in Belarusian society closely.
The Engagement of Arab Gulf States in Egypt and Tunisia since 2011
The Engagement of Arab Gulf States in Egypt and Tunisia since 2011Rationale and Impact
by Sebastian Sons, Inken Wiese
DGAPanalyse 9 (October 2015), 85 pp.
After the 2011 upheavals in Egypt and Tunisia, political and economic assistance provided to the two countries by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar was largely meant to stabilize matters economically. This study documents the nature of Gulf assistance and analyzes its impact on political and economic development in Egypt and Tunisia, particularly on democratization and inclusive socioeconomic change. There is potential for synergy between Arab and Western donor countries, but it remains untapped.
Perception and Exploitation
Perception and ExploitationRussia’s Non-Military Influence in Europe
by Stefan Meister, Jana Puglierin
DGAPkompakt 10 (October 7, 2015), 7 pp. In English
In the context of the Ukraine crisis and the annexation of Crimea, Moscow has deployed instruments of hybrid warfare on a broad scale. These tools include not only media propaganda and putting “little green men” on the ground in eastern Ukraine but also support for Euroskeptic parties and politicians within the EU. The power elite feels justified in using "the same means” as the West; it sees Western support for civil society in the post-Soviet realm as part of a strategy to keep Russia down.
What are Russia’s Interests in Syria?
What are Russia’s Interests in Syria?Moscow’s support for Bashar al-Assad is clearly a case of weighing costs against benefits
by Stefan Meister
DGAP Five Questions, September 21, 2015
Even as it constructs a military base in Syria, Russia remains opaque on the subject of its objectives and the scope of its activities there. Stefan Meister explains that Moscow hopes to use its role in Syria to end the international isolation brought on by its annexation of Crimea. Can it bolster its own standing with the West and reduce the US’s role in the Middle East? To what extent will the West go along with Russia’s goal of including Assad in its proposed solution to the Syria crisis?

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