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Assessing the 2017 Munich Security Conference
Assessing the 2017 Munich Security ConferenceThe liberal order is under unprecedented pressure
by Daniela Schwarzer, Sylke Tempel
The stakes were high, expectations even higher at this year’s Munich Security Conference (MSC): The liberal order, created by the United States after World War II, is under pressure, not least – ironically enough – from the new US administration. The social, political, and economic consequences of technological innovation are enormous. And there is, at least in Western liberal democracies, a growing sense of uncertainty. Did the 53rd MSC provide some orientation?
Trump, the EU, and Iran Policy
Multiple Pathways Ahead
by Cornelius Adebahr
Carnegie Europe, January 31, 2017, 12 pp (In English)
The Trump administration’s unclear and conflicting views on Iran could jeopardize the nuclear deal and threaten critical relations with European allies.
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus PolicySecurity Concerns amid Ethno-Political Conflict
by Sergey Markedonov
DGAPanalyse 1 (January 2017), 11 pp.
The outbreak of fighting in April 2016 between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the breakaway republic of Nagorno-Karabakh introduced new uncertainty to the South Caucasus. Russia’s policies are crucial here, just as they are in the region’s other ethno-political conflicts, in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. This insider’s perspective on the Kremlin’s involvement in the South Caucasus highlights Russia's security concerns. The post-Soviet neighborhood's different conflict zones require a differentiated approach.
New Deals for the Old Continent
New Deals for the Old ContinentFrom the January-February Berlin Policy Journal
by Daniela Schwarzer
Berlin Policy Journal, January February 2017
Europe is bracing for a new US president whose foreign policy objectives are measured solely by American interests. As the new director of the DGAP's research institute writes, "damage control" is not the only answer: Europe has to take its fate into its own hands.
Beyond Closing Mosques and Shutting Down Facebook Pages
Beyond Closing Mosques and Shutting Down Facebook PagesHow Tunisia Can Address the Threat of Online and Offline Terrorist Recruitment
by Marwa Fatafta
DGAPkompakt 24 (December 2016), 5 pp.
Tunisian nationals make up the largest number of foreign fighters affiliated with ISIS in Syria, Iraq, and Libya. ISIS is highly effective at using sophisticated online propaganda strategies to target young Tunisians. The government's fight against online and offline terrorist recruitment should include not only monitoring content that incites violence but also more constructive measures such as using social media to encourage civic engagement and bringing crowdsourcing to policy making.
Tunisia’s Postcolonial Identity Crisis
Tunisia’s Postcolonial Identity CrisisA Key to Understanding the Lure of Extremism
by Youssef Cherif
DGAPkompakt 23 (December 2016), 5 pp.
In Tunisia today, the hotly debated question of national identity opens up a vacuum for radical groups to fill. After years of repression, the post-2011 period of democracy and freedom of speech has allowed Tunisians to conduct grass-roots discussions of what they identify with. As political groups play different identity cards, and as jihadists cast a wide net for disaffected youth, defining what it means to be Tunisian turns out to be a divisive practice indeed.
The Method in Angela Merkel’s Measured Response to Terror
by Daniela Schwarzer
Financial Times, December 22, 2016
With Monday’s assault on one of Berlin’s most popular Christmas markets, Germans finally experienced the kind of atrocity many have been expecting since Islamist attacks in France and Belgium. Daniela Schwarzer writes in the Financial Times that the support of Germany's civil society for the chancellor’s refugee policy remains vital.
Moving Forward with the EU-Enlargement Process
Moving Forward with the EU-Enlargement ProcessThe TRAIN 2016 Programme’s focus on fundamental rights in the countries of the Western Balkans
The TRAIN 2016 Programme brought together think tanks from the Western Balkan region to discuss the overarching topic “fundamental rights” and its key role in European integration. The strengthening of media freedom and freedom of expression, the protection of minorities and a better representation of women in the political process were among the subtopics participants addressed. They presented their findings and recommendations to policy makers in Brussels as well as in their respective countries.
“Aid and Assistance by All Means in their Power”
“Aid and Assistance by All Means in their Power”The EU Mutual Assistance Clause as a Test Case for European Defense
by Jana Puglierin
DGAPkompakt 22 (December 2016), 6 pp.
After the terrorist attacks in Paris of November 13, 2015, EU member states unanimously – and unusually – invoked Europe’s mutual assistance clause: Article 42.7 of the Lisbon Treaty. The extent of support provided thus far has ranged starkly, however, and member states have given different weight to the European context. Both Brexit the election of Donald Trump have underlined the EU’s existential interest in pursuing closer and better defense cooperation.
Not in Party Mood
by Julian Rappold
Heinrich Böll Stiftung European Union, December 14, 2016
In the weekend of 9 and 10 December, the European Union celebrated the 25th anniversary of the Maastricht Treaty. But European leaders and their citizens seemed not to be in the mood to party as the celebrations went largely unnoticed by the general public.
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