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Mar 25, 2025

Why DeepSeek Is So Dangerous

DeepSeek
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When news broke in late January 2025 that the Chinese startup DeepSeek had released a new frontier artificial-intelligence (AI) model, it rattled world markets. The open-source model can perform on par with AI giants like ChatGPT, but at a fraction of the cost and computing power. This development put Silicon Valley on its toes. How had DeepSeek managed to achieve the highest AI performance benchmarks with such limited resources? Meta immediately started assembling a team to analyze this remarkable breakthrough. And lawmakers and regulators in Australia, Italy, South Korea, Taiwan, and the United States have initiated measures to block the use of DeepSeek, mostly in government settings.

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While the financial, economic, technological, and national-security implications of DeepSeek’s achievement have been widely covered, there has been little discussion of its significance for authoritarian governance. DeepSeek has massive potential to enhance China’s already pervasive surveillance state, and it will bring the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) closer than ever to its goal of possessing an automated, autonomous, and scientific tool for repressing its people.

Since its inception in the early 2000s, the Chinese surveillance state has undergone three evolutions. In the first, which lasted until the early 2010s, the CCP obtained situational awareness — knowledge of its citizens’ locations and behaviors — via intelligent-monitoring technology. In the second evolution, from the mid-2010s till now, AI systems began offering authorities some decision-making support. Today, we are on the cusp of a third transformation that will allow the CCP to use generative AI’s emerging reasoning capabilities to automate surveillance and hone repression.

 

You can read the full article by Valentin Weber in the Journal of Democracy here.

Bibliographic data

Weber, Valentin. “Why DeepSeek Is So Dangerous.” German Council on Foreign Relations. March 2025.

The article was published by the Journal of Democracy in March 2025. You can read the full text here.

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