Setting the Transatlantic Course

In the memo series “Setting the Transatlantic Course,” DGAP experts analyze possible scenarios for the 2024 US presidential election and their consequences for transatlantic relations. Originally, the scenarios “Biden 2.0” vs. “Trump 2.0” were examined from various perspectives: security, trade, geopolitics, and climate foreign policy. Since Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024, and the candidacy of Kamala Harris, the analyses now focus on “Harris 1.0” vs. “Trump 2.0.” The experts outline the expected consequences of this election on fields related to foreign policy and formulate recommendations for Germany and Europe to set the course for a sustainable partnership at an early stage.

Recent publications

What If the USA Closes Its Nuclear Umbrella Over Europe?

If the United States were to end its nuclear pledge to Europe, it would cause itself considerable damage. However, were this worst-case scenario to materialize, Europe would still have two important nuclear powers: France and the United Kingdom. To increase their credibility, both states must intensify their nuclear consultations. A European dialogue between nuclear and non-nuclear states is also needed.

Dr. Karl-Heinz Kamp

Macron und Scholz beim Empfang im Kanzleramt Oktober 2024

Untangling the Transatlantic Knot: Germany, France, and the United States

Gesine Weber

Jacob Ross

US President-elect Donald Trump attends Turning Point USA's AmericaFest in Phoenix, Arizona, December 22, 2024.

How to Deal with a Bully

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The different camps within Europe will need to come together and find ways to come to terms with Donald Trump in the White House.

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff

Tesla CEO and X owner Elon Musk, who supports Republican presidential nominee former US President Donald Trump, gestures as he speaks about voting during an America PAC Town Hall in Folsom, Pennsylvania, US, October 17, 2024.

A Touch of Trumpism Reaches Germany’s Election Campaign

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Elon Musk has been trolling Germany’s parliamentary election campaign during the holidays. His AI-supported interventions are unlikely to have much effect, but they remind the country that it needs new ideas—which so far are lacking.

Dr. Henning Hoff