Jun 17, 2020

Credible deterrence requires unity

Sven Sakkov, International Centre for Defense and Security, Estonia
Fighter jet on the deck of an aircraft carrier

According to the National Security Concept, the credibility and political impact of NATO’s deterrence is largely determined by the Alliance’s unity and performance, as well as its capabilities and available resources. Germany leaving the nuclear sharing arrangement would have a detrimental effect on the cohesion of the Alliance. There will inevitably be a question of moving US B61 nuclear bombs from Germany to Poland and replacing Germany in a sharing role with Poland. Also there is bound to be public opposition to the hosting of nuclear weapons. Outside the expert community the fact that several European countries are hosting B61s and are party to nuclear sharing is not very well known. German political discussions will change that. The only country benefiting from these fissures will be the Russian Federation. 

 

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Sven Sakkov, Director, International Centre for Defense and Security (ICDS)