Widespread expectations in 2022 that massive sanctions would devastate Russia’s economy, spark elite resistance, and force an end to the war in Ukraine, have not materialized by the fourth year of the full-scale invasion. Russia appears to have successfully adapted to both Western sanctions and a wartime economy. Thanks to ongoing resource exports, Moscow possesses sufficient means for the continuation of the war of attrition against Ukraine. Its global isolation remains limited, while China has emerged as a vital partner for Russia.
Together with renowned Russia experts, we will examine how unified the elites are behind Vladimir Putin and whether the Russian economy can remain stable. We will also discuss how the domestic situation affects Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine. In addition, we will explore the internal dynamics triggered by the ongoing efforts of the Trump administration to end the war, as well as the future course of Germany’s Russia policy under the new government.
Inputs:
Sabine Fischer, Senior Fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
Alexander Gabuev, Director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
Michael Nowak, Head of Division for Russia, Belarus, and Regional Organisations CIS, CSTO, EAEU, Federal Foreign Office
Max Seddon, Moscow Bureau Chief, Financial Times
Welcoming Remarks and Chair:
Rolf Nikel, Vice President, DGAP
This event is by invitation only. It will be held in English under the Chatham House Rule.