Ukraine has demonstrated that it has a new, long-range, precision-strike capability. This is likely to alter the military realities on the ground, particularly in the Kherson direction, creating more favorable conditions for Ukraine’s long-planned counter-offensive. Meanwhile, the weakening of Russia’s dominance of conventional escalation might create new strategic risks.
Germany’s “watershed moment,” or Zeitenwende, requires a new approach when it comes to dealing with Russia. Currently, European security can only be organized against Moscow, while Berlin needs to forge closer ties with its Central and Eastern European neighbors.
Slowly, Germany’s political class has caught up with the present. Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his Green Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck are starting to prepare Germany for a future that the country did not reckon with.
Dossier: Russia’s War Against Ukraine
Russia’s attack on Ukraine on February 24, violating international law, shocked the global community and brought war to Europe – along with fears of a nuclear escalation. Europe and its allies are responding with tough sanctions against Russia in the areas of finance, energy, and technology. In a sudden change of course, the German government has approved arms deliveries that it had previously rejected. While international appeals for a ceasefire are being made to Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, one thing is already clear: the European security order as we knew it no longer exists. The German government’s radical U-turn in security and defense policy is only one facet of that.
This dossier provides an overview of DGAP’s diverse expertise and activities on the conflict. See below for statements on current developments, in-depth analyses on how it could have come to this, and recommendations for action to the German government, as well as numerous interviews and high-profile discussion panels.