DGAP Core Expertise Publication page

  • What to Expect – and Not Expect – at the Upcoming G7 Summit in Biarritz

    von Claudia Schmucker
    Fünf Fragen, 21. August 2019

    What to Expect – and Not Expect – at the Upcoming G7 Summit in Biarritz

    French President Emmanuel Macron hosts the 45th G7 summit in Biarritz on August 24-26, 2019. The “Group of 7” is an important informal meeting of seven large industrial countries, including France, the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Japan. The forum addresses global challenges such as trade, foreign policy, and climate change. Claudia Schmucker explains why the issues of climate and trade may hamper a joint final communiqué.

  • The Unraveling of the Shanghai “Deal”

    US-China Trade-cum-Currency Conflict comes to Europe

    von Shahin Vallée | China, Economy and Currency
    DGAPviewpoint 21 (August 2019), 2 pp.

    The Unraveling of the Shanghai “Deal”

    The trade conflict between the US and China has now clearly escalated into the currency realm. This will force Europe to respond to avert being the “variable of adjustment” for an economic conflict from which it cannot remain an innocent bystander.

  • Mission Possible in the Strait of Hormuz

    Giving a flat “no” to a naval mission to protect shipping in the Persian Gulf does not solve Germany’s dilemmas.

    von Henning Riecke
    Berlin Policy Journal, 2. August 2019

    Mission Possible in the Strait of Hormuz

    The German government has just decided not to back a US-led mission to protect the shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf. It will now find it harder to work for its interests in the region.

  • The Age of Cynical Voters

    von Sławomir Sierakowski | Elections
    Project Syndicate, Online, 17.07.2019

    Voters who support populist parties and leaders are making political choices that they know to be risky because they feel as though they have nothing to lose. As behavioral economists would predict, people become less risk-averse when the perceived choice is between “bad” and “worse.”

  • Making America Great Again versus Made in China

    The US Geo-Economic Rivalry with China

    von Claudia Schmucker, Stormy-Annika Mildner | Trade
    DGAPanalysis 2, 2019, 60 pp.

    Making America Great Again versus Made in China

    The trade conflict between the United States and China is a severe threat to the world economy. While the debate over the effectiveness of tariffs is at a steady boil in the United States, the EU is opposed to tariffs as a means for dealing with China. Although serious issues with China must be addressed – such as dumping and subsidization – tariffs will make the United States neither more competitive nor secure.

  • Sustaining Multilateralism in a Multipolar World

    What France and Germany Can Do to Preserve the Multilateral Order

    von Claire Demesmay, Claudia Schmucker, Elvire Fabry, Carole Mathieu, Eric-André Martin
    Notes du Cerfa, No. 148, Ifri, June 2019, Claire Demesmay, Barbara Kunz, (ed.), 32 pp.

    Sustaining Multilateralism in a Multipolar World

    While international multilateralism is under strain, it is vital for France and Germany to defend it, since it is the most appropriate system for preserving their interests – particularly in terms of welfare, security, prosperity and environmental protection. Against this backdrop, three political fields offer opportunities for joint initiatives: trade, conventional arms control and climate change.

  • A New Dimension of Air-Based Threats

    Germany, the EU, and NATO Need New Political Initiatives and Military Defense Systems

    von Torben Schütz, Christian Mölling, Zoe Stanley-Lockman
    DGAPkompakt 8 (June 2019), 5 pp.

    A New Dimension of Air-Based Threats

    The range of air-based threats is expanding with considerable speed and intensity. The main reason is the proliferation of technologies and weapons systems. Germany could play a leading role in the necessary adaptation of arms control regimes and in the development of new air defense capabilities. To this end, Germany should initiate a PESCO project on short-range air defense and an air defense capability cluster within NATO.

  • Russia and the West 2028

    Forward-Looking Scenarios in Russian-European-American-Relations


    Russia and the West 2028

    The Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies and the Robert Bosch Center at the German Council on Foreign Relations partnered with the Robert Bosch Foundation to explore Russia-European-American dynamics in a turbulent time. In 2018, we decided in the last project phase to generate a number of scenarios – narratives of alternative futures – that can enable decision-makers to play out the potential ramifications of choices they face today.

  • Nord Stream 2: The Dead-End of Germany’s Ostpolitik

    von Stefan Meister
    Berlin Policy Journal, February 20, 2019

    The fight about the pipeline was supposed to give Germany cause to rethink its foreign-policy. Instead, Berlin is supporting a project that will hurt its credibility.

  • Deterrence and Arms Control

    Europe’s Security without the INF Treaty: Political and Strategic Options for Germany and NATO

    von Christian Mölling, Heinrich Brauß | Arms Control and WMD
    DGAPkompakt 2 (February 2019), 4 pp.

    Deterrence and Arms Control

    In response to Russia’s breach of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, the US will withdraw from the accord. As a result, Europe loses a central pillar of its security. Russia’s threat potential rises due to its intermediate-range missiles. They could split NATO into two zones of security and lead Moscow to assume it holds escalation dominance. Germany and NATO should review their defense policy options. NATO’s unity and credible deterrence, complemented by dialogue with Moscow, are key.

  • Us and U.S.?

    Not all in Europe want to be a “counterweight” to Donald Trump’s United States

    von Jana Puglierin | Europe-USA
    Berlin Policy Journal, Eye on Europe, September 4, 2018

    Germany wants a unified Europe that speaks to the US government with a strong voice. Foreign Minister Maas is right to call for a strong Europe. But first Germany needs to strengthen its commitment to EU security and defense policy.

  • Is Trump Wrong About NATO?

    Judy asks Daniela Schwarzer and other experts

    von Daniela Schwarzer | NATO
    Judy Dempsey’s Strategic Europe Blog, July 11, 2018, Carnegie Europe

    As part of her “Strategic Europe” blog for Carnegie Europe’s website, Judy Dempsey asked a selection of foreign and security policy experts, including the DGAP’s Director Daniela Schwarzer, wether Trump is wrong about NATO.

  • Trump’s new ambassador to Germany should ruffle fewer feathers

    von Heidi Obermeyer
    The Hill, 10.05.2018

  • How Donald Trump drives Europe towards China

    von Philipp Liesenhoff | United States of America, Economy and Finance

    The US under Trump is presenting itself to Europe as a less attractive ally for trade and climate policy, and China as a more attractive one, a German foreign policy expert writes.

  • Mind the Gap

    How France and Germany Can Spearhead Joint Foreign Policy Initiatives Now

    von Claire Demesmay, Jana Puglierin, Laure Delcour, Barbara Kunz, Stefan Meister, Andreas Rinke, Frédéric Charillon, Laura Lale Kabis-Kechrid, Dorothée Schmid | France
    DGAPkompakt 4b (April 2018), 16 pp., Updated and extended version

    Mind the Gap

    Given the current instability on Europe's borders and uncertainty about the international role of the US under President Trump, it is high time for Franco-German foreign policy initiatives. However, differences between the two, both on policy issues and in their strategic cultures, also limit their cooperation. This study shows how France and Germany can bridge - and exploit - these gaps to facilitate joint initiatives on four key topics: Russia, transatlantic relations, Syria and Turkey.

  • Atlanticist and “Post-Atlanticist” Wishful Thinking

    von Jana Puglierin, Hans Kundnani | Transatlantic Relations
    The German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF), Policy Essay No. 01/2018, January 3, 2018

    Atlanticist and “Post-Atlanticist” Wishful Thinking

    The publication of an Atlanticist manifesto by a group of leading German foreign policy analysts has prompted a lively debate about whether or not Germany, and by extension the European Union, should “preserve” the transatlantic partnership or decouple itself from the United States and pursue a “post-Atlanticist” foreign policy.

  • The Ties That Bind

    von Henning Riecke, Alin Polyakova | Transatlantic Relations
    Atlantic Council, September 27, 2017

    As German Chancellor Angela Merkel enters her fourth term in office, the US-German relationship will need to overcome trade and policy disagreements in order to thrive in today’s uncertain political climate.

  • Trump’s Non-Governmental Organization

    von Josef Braml | United States of America, Transatlantic Relations
    DGAPstandpunkt 9 (September 2017), 3 pages.

    Trump’s Non-Governmental Organization

    Trump’s actions may appear impulsive and erratic, but there is method in the madness.

  • When Worlds Collide

    US President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Angela Merkel stand for conflicting conceptions of the West.

    von Jana Puglierin | Transatlantic Relations
    Berlin Policy Journal, July 2017

    US President Trump’s understanding of the West, as sketched out in his Warsaw speech, is actually very Polish – or rather, PiS-ish. Meanwhile, Angela Merkel’s West is a place where people share certain fundamental political beliefs, including liberal democracy, the rule of law, human rights, and gender equality

  • Foreign Policy and the Next German Government

    Experts from the German Council on Foreign Relations offer case studies

    von Josef Braml, Claire Demesmay, Dina Fakoussa, Ali Fathollah-Nejad, Wilfried Jilge, Laura Lale Kabis-Kechrid, Stefan Meister, Christian Mölling, Jana Puglierin, Henning Riecke, Claudia Schmucker, Daniela Schwarzer, Svenja Sinjen, Sebastian Sons, Sarah Wohlfeld | Germany, International Policy/Relations
    DGAPkompakt 7, Summer 2017, 42 pp.

    Foreign Policy and the Next German Government

    A new German government will take office after the elections on September 24, 2017. DGAP experts outline in 12 separate areas the foreign policy goals Germany should pursue (and with which partners).