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Mission Possible in the Strait of Hormuz
Mission Possible in the Strait of HormuzGiving a flat “no” to a naval mission to protect shipping in the Persian Gulf does not solve Germany’s dilemmas.
by Henning Riecke
Berlin Policy Journal, 2. August 2019
The German government has just decided not to back a US-led mission to protect the shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf. It will now find it harder to work for its interests in the region.
Socio-Economic Development and Violent Extremism in Morocco: Morocco’s Regional Policy, Migration and (De-)Radicalization
Perspectives from the Region and Europe
by Dina Fakoussa, Laura Lale Kabis-Kechrid
In response to recent destabilization posed by violent extremist groups, Morocco has pursued a highly security-based approach. Though successful, ongoing socio-economic challenges fuel radicalization. Due to this, some demand the government prioritize greater domestic engagement instead of regional investment and economic integration in Sub-Saharan Africa. These authors analyze Morocco’s strategy to prevent and counter violent extremism, and assess the implications of recent regional policies.
How Europe’s populists lost EU game of thrones
by Sławomir Sierakowski
Project Syndicate, Online, July 29, 2019
In the European Union’s leadership negotiations this month, populist governments failed not only to act as spoilers, but also to secure any concessions at all. They now have every reason to worry that they will be held accountable for their routine violations of the rule of law when EU funds are disbursed.
The Age of Cynical Voters
by Sławomir Sierakowski
Project Syndicate, Online, 17.07.2019
Voters who support populist parties and leaders are making political choices that they know to be risky because they feel as though they have nothing to lose. As behavioral economists would predict, people become less risk-averse when the perceived choice is between “bad” and “worse.”
Trade at the Time of Protectionism: Why the G20 Can Help
by Claudia Schmucker
Dossier of ISPI, 26. Juni 2019
International trade is facing many risks, according to the WTO trade forecast of September 2018. Among these are rising trade tensions and global protectionism, as well as increased financial volatility as developed economies tighten their monetary policy. Consequently, the WTO downgraded world merchandise trade growth to 3.9% (2018) and 3.7% (2019) respectively.
From Ostpolitik to EU-Russia Interdependence
Germany’s Perspective
by Stefan Meister
Published in "Post-Crimea Shift in EU-Russia Relations: From Fostering Interdependence to Managing Vulnerabilities", 2019, Kristi Raik & András Rácz (eds.)
With the Russian annexation of Crimea and the war in eastern Ukraine, followed by Western sanctions and Russian counter-sanctions, German decision-makers had to learn that economic and energy interdependence not only creates win-win situations but also means vulnerability. The reaction was a shift from the dominance of the economy in German policy on Russia to a securitisation and politicisation of relations with Moscow.
“Europe Is at a Disadvantage”
Judy Dempsey asks Jana Puglierin and other experts about the current political crisis in Germany
by Jana Puglierin
“Judy Asks,” Carnegie Europe Blog, June 6, 2019
As part of her "Strategic Europe" blog for Carnegie Europe's website, Judy Dempsey asked a selection of foreign and security policy experts, including DGAP's Jana Puglierin, about the consequences of Germany’s political crisis for Europe.
Sustaining Multilateralism in a Multipolar World
Sustaining Multilateralism in a Multipolar WorldWhat France and Germany Can Do to Preserve the Multilateral Order
by Claire Demesmay, Claudia Schmucker, Elvire Fabry, Carole Mathieu, Eric-André Martin
Notes du Cerfa, No. 148, Ifri, June 2019, Claire Demesmay, Barbara Kunz, (ed.), 32 pp.
While international multilateralism is under strain, it is vital for France and Germany to defend it, since it is the most appropriate system for preserving their interests – particularly in terms of welfare, security, prosperity and environmental protection. Against this backdrop, three political fields offer opportunities for joint initiatives: trade, conventional arms control and climate change.
Russia and the West 2028
Russia and the West 2028Forward-Looking Scenarios in Russian-European-American-Relations
by
The Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies and the Robert Bosch Center at the German Council on Foreign Relations partnered with the Robert Bosch Foundation to explore Russia-European-American dynamics in a turbulent time. In 2018, we decided in the last project phase to generate a number of scenarios – narratives of alternative futures – that can enable decision-makers to play out the potential ramifications of choices they face today.
The Mystery of Volodymyr Zelenskiy
by Iryna Solonenko
Berlin Policy Journal, April 19, 2019
The comedian has played the president on Ukrainian TV for years. Now he’s likely to be elected to the real office. Who is Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and what or whom does he stand for?
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