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China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern Europe
China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern EuropeRegional and Global Implications for Germany and the EU
by Jacopo Maria Pepe
DGAPanalyse 3 (March 2017), 11pp.
Could China’s quiet but steadily rising penetration of Central Europe bear risks for the EU? Certainly, Beijing is using the region as a gateway to Western Europe’s markets while including the EU in its “Eurasian” integration project. But a deepening trade triangle of China, Germany, and Central European countries could put other EU countries at an economic disadvantage. Germany must address this risk, carefully balancing national interest and European cohesion.
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus PolicySecurity Concerns amid Ethno-Political Conflict
by Sergey Markedonov
DGAPanalyse 1 (January 2017), 11 pp.
The outbreak of fighting in April 2016 between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the breakaway republic of Nagorno-Karabakh introduced new uncertainty to the South Caucasus. Russia’s policies are crucial here, just as they are in the region’s other ethno-political conflicts, in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. This insider’s perspective on the Kremlin’s involvement in the South Caucasus highlights Russia's security concerns. The post-Soviet neighborhood's different conflict zones require a differentiated approach.
Reviewing the Eastern Partnership
Reviewing the Eastern PartnershipThe EU must do more to support reforms and overcome the veto power of vested interests
by Martin Sieg
DGAPanalyse 10 (November 2016), 13 pp.
When the EU launched its Eastern Partnership to support Ukraine and other post-Soviet countries, geopolitical conflict with Russia seemed distant. Today, facing the partnership’s patent shortcomings, the EU must choose between either scaling down its objectives or ramping up its means.
Youth Unemployment and Job Insecurity in Spain
Youth Unemployment and Job Insecurity in SpainProblems and Policy Options
by María Ramos, Carlos Victoria
DGAPanalyse 9 (November 2016), 12 pp.
Spain has staggering rates of youth unemployment. The Spanish labor market is so dysfunctional for young people that it is tempting to emulate wholesale the successful experiences of other countries, particularly Germany, where unemployment rates – both for the general population and for youth – have been going down for several years.
The Future of the European Project
The Future of the European Project
by Thierry Chopin, Jean-François Jamet
DGAPanalyse 8, September 15, 2016, 14 pp. (in German)
At the EU summit on September 16 in Bratislava, 27 heads of state and government sought to show that the European Union would be facing the future together, despite the outcome of the British referendum to leave the EU. Thierry Chopin of the Fondation Robert Schuman and economist Jean-François Jamet describe how factors that previously brought unity to the European project have fallen by the wayside. They also suggest how these can be found again.
How to Win the Battle for a New Ukraine
How to Win the Battle for a New UkraineReforms, new elites, and old structures
by Iryna Solonenko
DGAPanalyse 4 (May 2016), 11 pp.
This April saw the formation of the third Ukrainian government since the Euromaidan protests. Where does Ukraine stand on its path to democratic change? Two years of reform efforts have yielded decidedly mixed results. A battle continues between the old system’s vested interests and reformers pushing hard for a new social contract. Who is winning? And how can external actors help the country, among other things, strengthen political accountability, break monopolies, and fight corruption?
Papers from the Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue
Papers from the Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue Three different views on security in Europe
by Stefan Meister, Jana Puglierin, Marek Świerczyński, Alexander Nikitin
DGAPanalyse 3 (April 2016), 13 pp, in English
The Germany-Poland-Russia Trialogue Workshop held at the DGAP in December 2015 focused on security. It brought together a group of Russian, Polish, and German experts to discuss their respective national security discourses and the security situation in Europe more generally. The three short papers included here provide brief analyses of how the security situation is currently perceived in each of the three countries.
The Engagement of Arab Gulf States in Egypt and Tunisia since 2011
The Engagement of Arab Gulf States in Egypt and Tunisia since 2011Rationale and Impact
by Sebastian Sons, Inken Wiese
DGAPanalyse 9 (October 2015), 85 pp.
Saudi-Qatari relations are back in the headlines. Inken Wiese and Sebastian Sons examine here the complex nature of Gulf-state assistance to Egypt and Tunisia after the upheavals of 2011 and review the impact of aid on political and economic development in the two countries – particularly on democratization and inclusive socioeconomic change. If there is potential for synergy between Arab and Western donor countries, it remains untapped.
The Value of Alternatives:
The Value of Alternatives:Why the EU is indispensable to Central Asian security
by Luba von Hauff
DGAPanalyse 8 (August 2015), 9 pp.
Central Asia’s pronounced security risks concern many international actors, not least because of the potential for radical ideologies to gain a foothold in the region’s communities. Against this background, Luba von Hauff highlights the EU’s particular value added to the region, reflecting on how European policy can further build up its impact on the local security situation for the time to come.
France: A Hotbed of Opposition to TTIP?
France: A Hotbed of Opposition to TTIP?The topic of arbitration is encountering opposition across parties
by Elvire Fabry
DGAPanalyse 7 (June 2015), 16 pp. In German.
The French public is traditionally skeptical about trade liberalization, but until recently there has been comparatively little noise about TTIP – the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. Unlike in Germany, the trade agreement has enjoyed high approval ratings in France. But the anti-TTIP movement is growing. One point under negotiation, arbitration, is encountering cross-party opposition. TTIP could well become an important issue in the run-up to the 2017 presidential elections.
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