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Priorities for the EU’s New Foreign Policy Agenda up to 2024
Priorities for the EU’s New Foreign Policy Agenda up to 2024Unleashing the Potential of the Common Foreign and Security Policy
by Jana Puglierin
DGAPanalyse 5 (October 2019), 18 pp.
Taking practical steps toward a more effective Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) must become a top concern for the EU in its next political-institutional cycle. The fresh start in Brussels in terms of personnel and setup offers a window of opportunity to revise CFSP’s priorities, as well as its conceptual and institutional framework. This presupposes that member states are actually willing to subordinate their own national objectives to a common European goal and make the necessary compromises.
Eurasia: Playing Field or Battle Field?
Eurasia: Playing Field or Battle Field?Defining an Effective German and European Approach on Connectivity Toward China and Russia
by Jacopo Maria Pepe
DGAPanalysis 4 (July 2019), 22 pp.
Eurasia is emerging as a fluid continent where resurgent great power politics by Russia and China is marginalizing Europe and the Western liberal order. Moscow and Beijing are linking their Eurasian integration projects, the Belt and Roads Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). To avoid marginalization, the EU and Germany should define an interest-driven, flexible and regionally diversified approach toward Moscow and Beijing, focusing on Greater Central Asia and Greater Eastern Europe.
Divided in Diversity
Divided in DiversityOvercoming Europe’s Incoherence in National Approaches to Civilian CSDP
by Carina Böttcher, Marie Wolf
DGAPanalyse 3, June 2019, 18 p.
Despite 15 years of mission practice, EU member states are often reluctant to commit considerable resources to civilian CSDP. One reason for this is the fact that EU member states diverge considerably on the role and strategic relevance they attribute to civilian crisis management in general, and civilian CSDP specifically. This divergence hampers a common understanding on the future direction of civilian CSDP, which is direly needed to strengthen it through the Civilian CSDP Compact.
Making America Great Again versus Made in China
Making America Great Again versus Made in ChinaThe US Geo-Economic Rivalry with China
by Claudia Schmucker, Stormy-Annika Mildner
DGAPanalysis 2, 2019, 60 pp.
The trade conflict between the United States and China is a severe threat to the world economy. While the debate over the effectiveness of tariffs is at a steady boil in the United States, the EU is opposed to tariffs as a means for dealing with China. Although serious issues with China must be addressed – such as dumping and subsidization – tariffs will make the United States neither more competitive nor secure.
Shaking Up the 2019 European Election
Shaking Up the 2019 European ElectionMacron, Salvini, Orbán, and the Fate of the European Party System
by Julie Hamann, Milan Nič, Jana Puglierin
DGAPanalysis 1 (February 2019), 11 pp.
More fragmented than ever, Europe is at a crossroads, making the 2019 European Parliament election an immensely political event. Stakes are high for Emmanuel Macron, Matteo Salvini and Viktor Orbán, all of whom could shake up the balance of power in the EP. Macron has lost much of his initial vigor, and the disruptive potential of Salvini and Orbán is significant. If played well, their combined power could send shock waves across all European institutions.
Straddling between Optimism and Mistrust
Straddling between Optimism and MistrustFrance’s Youth Doubts Reform Successes
by Julie Hamann, Sara Jakob
DGAPanalysis 7 (November 2018), 11 pp.
For many young people in France, President Macron’s reforms failed to alleviate their social anxieties. Unemployment remains high, employment conditions precarious, and what started as a protest against new fuel taxes quickly spilled over to other reform areas including social policy. Macron will need to gain the youngsters’ trust ahead of the European Parliament election – not least because its outcome will decisively shape his domestic credibility, and consequently, his political fate.
A New Strategy for European Health Policy
A New Strategy for European Health Policy
by Anna-Lena Kirch, Daniela Braun
DGAPanalyse 6 (September 2018), 25 pp.
Germany considers itself a leading European power that utilizes its influence to promote EU cohesion in the face of Brexit and numerous other crises. However, a different picture emerges in European health policy, an area that is not only being discussed as an essential part of the EU’s social dimension but also in the context of its security and development positioning: Far from shaping the discussion, Germany is at times even perceived as the brakeman to an effective European health policy.
Beyond ‘pro’ and ‘anti’ Putin
Beyond ‘pro’ and ‘anti’ PutinDebating Russia Policies in France and Germany
by Barbara Kunz
DGAPanalyse 1 (February 2018), 20 pp.
France and Germany are key in shaping European policies toward Russia. However, while the general public is largely skeptical of Vladimir Putin in both countries, the picture is more diverse in the political realm. Whereas Germany remains focused on multilateralism and a rules-based international order, French political parties have been split on Russia. The differences between and within France and Germany impact on Franco-German relations and go beyond the question on how to deal with Russia.
China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern Europe
China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern EuropeRegional and Global Implications for Germany and the EU
by Jacopo Maria Pepe
DGAPanalyse 3 (March 2017), 11pp.
Could China’s quiet but steadily rising penetration of Central Europe bear risks for the EU? Certainly, Beijing is using the region as a gateway to Western Europe’s markets while including the EU in its “Eurasian” integration project. But a deepening trade triangle of China, Germany, and Central European countries could put other EU countries at an economic disadvantage. Germany must address this risk, carefully balancing national interest and European cohesion.
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus PolicySecurity Concerns amid Ethno-Political Conflict
by Sergey Markedonov
DGAPanalyse 1 (January 2017), 11 pp.
The outbreak of fighting in April 2016 between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the breakaway republic of Nagorno-Karabakh introduced new uncertainty to the South Caucasus. Russia’s policies are crucial here, just as they are in the region’s other ethno-political conflicts, in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. This insider’s perspective on the Kremlin’s involvement in the South Caucasus highlights Russia's security concerns. The post-Soviet neighborhood's different conflict zones require a differentiated approach.
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