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Shaking Up the 2019 European Election
Shaking Up the 2019 European ElectionMacron, Salvini, Orbán, and the Fate of the European Party System
by Julie Hamann, Milan Nič, Jana Puglierin
DGAPanalysis 1 (February 2019), 11 pp.
More fragmented than ever, Europe is at a crossroads, making the 2019 European Parliament election an immensely political event. Stakes are high for Emmanuel Macron, Matteo Salvini and Viktor Orbán, all of whom could shake up the balance of power in the EP. Macron has lost much of his initial vigor, and the disruptive potential of Salvini and Orbán is significant. If played well, their combined power could send shock waves across all European institutions.
Straddling between Optimism and Mistrust
Straddling between Optimism and MistrustFrance’s Youth Doubts Reform Successes
by Julie Hamann, Sara Jakob
DGAPanalysis 7 (November 2018), 11 pp.
For many young people in France, President Macron’s reforms failed to alleviate their social anxieties. Unemployment remains high, employment conditions precarious, and what started as a protest against new fuel taxes quickly spilled over to other reform areas including social policy. Macron will need to gain the youngsters’ trust ahead of the European Parliament election – not least because its outcome will decisively shape his domestic credibility, and consequently, his political fate.
A New Strategy for European Health Policy
A New Strategy for European Health Policy
by Anna-Lena Kirch, Daniela Braun
DGAPanalyse 6 (September 2018), 25 pp.
Germany considers itself a leading European power that utilizes its influence to promote EU cohesion in the face of Brexit and numerous other crises. However, a different picture emerges in European health policy, an area that is not only being discussed as an essential part of the EU’s social dimension but also in the context of its security and development positioning: Far from shaping the discussion, Germany is at times even perceived as the brakeman to an effective European health policy.
Beyond ‘pro’ and ‘anti’ Putin
Beyond ‘pro’ and ‘anti’ PutinDebating Russia Policies in France and Germany
by Barbara Kunz
DGAPanalyse 1 (February 2018), 20 pp.
France and Germany are key in shaping European policies toward Russia. However, while the general public is largely skeptical of Vladimir Putin in both countries, the picture is more diverse in the political realm. Whereas Germany remains focused on multilateralism and a rules-based international order, French political parties have been split on Russia. The differences between and within France and Germany impact on Franco-German relations and go beyond the question on how to deal with Russia.
China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern Europe
China’s Inroads into Central, Eastern, and South Eastern EuropeRegional and Global Implications for Germany and the EU
by Jacopo Maria Pepe
DGAPanalyse 3 (March 2017), 11pp.
Could China’s quiet but steadily rising penetration of Central Europe bear risks for the EU? Certainly, Beijing is using the region as a gateway to Western Europe’s markets while including the EU in its “Eurasian” integration project. But a deepening trade triangle of China, Germany, and Central European countries could put other EU countries at an economic disadvantage. Germany must address this risk, carefully balancing national interest and European cohesion.
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy
Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus PolicySecurity Concerns amid Ethno-Political Conflict
by Sergey Markedonov
DGAPanalyse 1 (January 2017), 11 pp.
The outbreak of fighting in April 2016 between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the breakaway republic of Nagorno-Karabakh introduced new uncertainty to the South Caucasus. Russia’s policies are crucial here, just as they are in the region’s other ethno-political conflicts, in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. This insider’s perspective on the Kremlin’s involvement in the South Caucasus highlights Russia's security concerns. The post-Soviet neighborhood's different conflict zones require a differentiated approach.
Reviewing the Eastern Partnership
Reviewing the Eastern PartnershipThe EU must do more to support reforms and overcome the veto power of vested interests
by Martin Sieg
DGAPanalyse 10 (November 2016), 13 pp.
When the EU launched its Eastern Partnership to support Ukraine and other post-Soviet countries, geopolitical conflict with Russia seemed distant. Today, facing the partnership’s patent shortcomings, the EU must choose between either scaling down its objectives or ramping up its means.
Youth Unemployment and Job Insecurity in Spain
Youth Unemployment and Job Insecurity in SpainProblems and Policy Options
by María Ramos, Carlos Victoria
DGAPanalyse 9 (November 2016), 12 pp.
Spain has staggering rates of youth unemployment. The Spanish labor market is so dysfunctional for young people that it is tempting to emulate wholesale the successful experiences of other countries, particularly Germany, where unemployment rates – both for the general population and for youth – have been going down for several years.
The Future of the European Project
The Future of the European Project
by Thierry Chopin, Jean-François Jamet
DGAPanalyse 8, September 15, 2016, 14 pp. (in German)
At the EU summit on September 16 in Bratislava, 27 heads of state and government sought to show that the European Union would be facing the future together, despite the outcome of the British referendum to leave the EU. Thierry Chopin of the Fondation Robert Schuman and economist Jean-François Jamet describe how factors that previously brought unity to the European project have fallen by the wayside. They also suggest how these can be found again.
How to Win the Battle for a New Ukraine
How to Win the Battle for a New UkraineReforms, new elites, and old structures
by Iryna Solonenko
DGAPanalyse 4 (May 2016), 11 pp.
This April saw the formation of the third Ukrainian government since the Euromaidan protests. Where does Ukraine stand on its path to democratic change? Two years of reform efforts have yielded decidedly mixed results. A battle continues between the old system’s vested interests and reformers pushing hard for a new social contract. Who is winning? And how can external actors help the country, among other things, strengthen political accountability, break monopolies, and fight corruption?
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