Donbas Peace Talks 2.0
Donbas Peace Talks 2.0

Russia’s Objectives and Ukraine’s Limits

18/10/2019 | by Dr. Cristina Gherasimov, András Rácz | Ukraine, Bilateral Conflicts

On October 1, 2019, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy agreed to meet Russia’s conditions for holding peace talks already this autumn. Moscow’s readiness to play, however, should not be mistaken for willingness to solve the conflict. So far, the Kremlin has not made any concessions in Eastern Ukraine that would be irreversible; consequently, it seems to only be testing Zelenskiy’s limits. Both Zelenskiy and the EU need to be cautious not to reward easy-to-reverse steps with major, strategic benefits.

Publications

  • Eastern Challenges for Josep Borrell – and the EU

    von Milan Nič, Dr. Cristina Gherasimov | Europe, European Union
    DGAPstandpunkt 26 (September 2019), 3 pp.

    Eastern Challenges for Josep Borrell – and the EU

    As the European Union’s next designated HR/VP, Josep Borrell will have to deal with major global challenges and the EU’s internal travails to shape foreign policy more assertively. In particular, two flash points on the EU’s doorstep – the eastern Ukraine and Serbia-Kosovo – will be early tests of Borell’s ability to enhance the Union’s ability to project influence as a global power and help build its capacity for strategic autonomy.

  • Putin’s Regime on the Path to More Repression

    After Russia’s Regional Elections

    von András Rácz | Russia, Elections
    DGAPviewpoint 24 (September 2019), 3 pp.

    Putin’s Regime on the Path to More Repression

    In the Russian regional elections on 8 September 2019, the ruling party United Russia managed to largely hold on its control over state assemblies and governorships. Even in Moscow, where United Russia was significantly weakened, there was no liberal breakthrough. But the elections did not solve any of the inherent political and social tensions—it only made them more visible. Thus, protest potential is going to remain high, which will likely cause the regime to become even more repressive.

  • Eurasia: Playing Field or Battle Field?

    Defining an Effective German and European Approach on Connectivity Toward China and Russia

    von Dr. Jacopo Maria Pepe | Central Asia, Trade
    DGAPanalysis 4 (July 2019), 22 pp.

    Eurasia: Playing Field or Battle Field?

    Eurasia is emerging as a fluid continent where resurgent great power politics by Russia and China is marginalizing Europe and the Western liberal order. Moscow and Beijing are linking their Eurasian integration projects, the Belt and Roads Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). To avoid marginalization, the EU and Germany should define an interest-driven, flexible and regionally diversified approach toward Moscow and Beijing, focusing on Greater Central Asia and Greater Eastern Europe.

Events

Connectivity in Eurasia:
Europe’s emerging approach to China and Russia
24/09/2019 | 18:00 - 19:30 | DGAP
Public discussion with Bruno Maçães, Stefan Meister, Jacopo Maria Pepe, and Natalie Nougayrède
Russia and the West: Scenarios for the future
28/05/2019 | 18:00 - 19:30 | Robert Bosch Stiftung, Berlin Representative Office, Berlin | Russia
Category: Russia, Western World
Regional Cooperation in Central Asia and Uzbekistan’s Role
16/01/2019 | 18:30 - 20:00 | DGAP | Uzbekistan
Category: Uzbekistan