Publications

Red Herring & Black Swan: Beware of Gray Rhinos

Despite warning signals about a pending crisis, European decision-makers repeatedly fail to invest in preparedness. Forward-looking thinking and whole-of-government approaches are required now in order to prevent cascading effects from the COVID-19 crisis.

The Road to Nowhere

The Johnson government has been conducting the negotiations about the UK’s future relationship with the EU in cavalier fashion; the prime minister is banking on “English exceptionalism.” A “no-deal” Brexit or a series of last-minute mini-agreements are the most likely outcome now.